How many people in the US will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 31 May 2021, according to the CDC?
Closed May 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People with at least One Dose” (CDC). The data will be accessed on 14 June 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary. For the purposes of this question, a person receiving a single-dose vaccine would count as a person having received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine.
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The question closed "Between 170,000,000 and 180,000,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 May 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 170,000,000 | 50% | |
Between 170,000,000 and 180,000,000, inclusive | 50% | |
More than 180,000,000 but fewer than 190,000,000 | 0% | |
Between 190,000,000 and 200,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 200,000,000 but fewer than 210,000,000 | 0% | |
Between 210,000,000 and 220,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 220,000,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 42 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 181 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |