Started Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 01, 2015 10:00PM UTC

How many seats will the Justice and Development Party (AKP) win in Turkey's snap elections?

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) failed to win a single-party majority in June's general election for the first time since 2002. After negotiations aimed at forming a coalition government collapsed, snap elections have been scheduled for 1 November. For more information see: www.wsj.com/articles/turkey-to-head-to-snap-polls-in-november-1440522516 .

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
A majority 22%
A plurality 78%
Not a plurality 0%

No. of
Forecasters

194

Forecast
Count

567

Crowd Brier Score

0.7084


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.487
2.
-0.464
3.
-0.433
4.
-0.424
5.
-0.37

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