Started May 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many people will have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US as of 31 May 2021, according to the CDC?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People Fully Vaccinated” (CDC). The data will be accessed on 14 June 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary.

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The question closed "More than 130,000,000 but fewer than 140,000,000" with a closing date of 31 May 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 120,000,000 0%
Between 120,000,000 and 130,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 130,000,000 but fewer than 140,000,000 98%
Between 140,000,000 and 150,000,000, inclusive 2%
More than 150,000,000 but fewer than 160,000,000 0%
Between 160,000,000 and 170,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 170,000,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

56

Forecast
Count

261

Crowd Brier Score

0.0703


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.071
2.
-0.067
3.
-0.066
4.
-0.064
5.
-0.062

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