Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Tim Harford asks:

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be authorized for emergency use or approved by the US FDA as of 31 December 2021?

The race to develop COVID-19 vaccines continues (FDA - COVID-19 Vaccines, FDA - Emergency Use Authorization).

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NOTE 14 May 2021: The authorization/approval of an EUA amendment for a modified vaccine would not count (e.g.,, see Appendix 2).

NOTE 27 July 2021: The approval of an already approved vaccine for administration as a booster would not count.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
2 or fewer 0.00% +0.00%
3 82.00% +3.00%
4 18.00% -3.00%
5 0.00% +0.00%
6 or more 0.00% +0.00%

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