Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Aug 13, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Adam Grant asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 13 August 2021, according to FiveThirtyEight?

The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 3 May 2021, Biden's approval rating was 53.5%. The data will be accessed for resolution on 16 August 2021.

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Name Probability
Lower than 45.0% 0%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive 15%
Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0% 82%
55.0% or higher 3%

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