Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the average price of whole milk powder as of 15 June 2021 be higher than it was as of 18 May 2021?

Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 14, 2021 12:01PM UTC

Milk prices have been on the rise in 2021 (Rural News Group). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Global Dairy Trade, which posts new price data every first and third Tuesday of the month (Global Dairy Trade). As of 18 May 2021, the average price of whole milk powder was $4,123.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 17.00%
No 83.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 136
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.74525
2.
-0.74525
3.
-0.72525
4.
-0.626917
5.
-0.534517

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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