Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 14, 2021 12:01PM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the average price of whole milk powder as of 15 June 2021 be higher than it was as of 18 May 2021?

Milk prices have been on the rise in 2021 (Rural News Group). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Global Dairy Trade, which posts new price data every first and third Tuesday of the month (Global Dairy Trade). As of 18 May 2021, the average price of whole milk powder was $4,123.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 June 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

17%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

56

Forecast
Count

136

Crowd Brier Score

0.5597


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.745
2.
-0.745
3.
-0.725
4.
-0.627
5.
-0.535

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