Started Jun 02, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many US adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 3 July 2021?

The outcome will be determined using hospital admissions data as recorded in the Department of Health and Human Services' "COVID-19 Reported Patient Impact and Hospital Capacity by State Timeseries" for the week ending 3 July 2021 (HealthData.gov). The total will be calculated by adding data from two columns, "previous_day_admission_adult_covid_confirmed" and "previous_day_admission_pediatric_covid_confirmed," inclusive of the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and US Virgin Islands. As these are "previous day" data, we will use the data dated 28 June 2021 through 4 July 2021, inclusive. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.

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The question closed "More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 5,000 0%
Between 5,000 and 10,000, inclusive 9%
More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000 85%
Between 15,000 and 20,000, inclusive 6%
More than 20,000 but fewer than 25,000 0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive 0%
More than 30,000 but fewer than 35,000 0%
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive 0%
More than 40,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

21

Forecast
Count

57

Crowd Brier Score

0.0127


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.024
3.
-0.017
4.
-0.011
5.
-0.009

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