Started Jun 02, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many US adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 3 July 2021?

The outcome will be determined using hospital admissions data as recorded in the Department of Health and Human Services' "COVID-19 Reported Patient Impact and Hospital Capacity by State Timeseries" for the week ending 3 July 2021 ( The total will be calculated by adding data from two columns, "previous_day_admission_adult_covid_confirmed" and "previous_day_admission_pediatric_covid_confirmed," inclusive of the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and US Virgin Islands. As these are "previous day" data, we will use the data dated 28 June 2021 through 4 July 2021, inclusive. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 5,000 0%
Between 5,000 and 10,000, inclusive 9%
More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000 85%
Between 15,000 and 20,000, inclusive 6%
More than 20,000 but fewer than 25,000 0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive 0%
More than 30,000 but fewer than 35,000 0%
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive 0%
More than 40,000 0%

No. of




Crowd Brier Score


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Tip: Mention someone by typing @username