Started Jun 02, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 3 July 2021?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 deaths data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 27 June 2021 through 3 July 2021, inclusive (JSU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 26 June 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 3 July 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.

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The question closed "Between 1,000 and 2,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,000 0%
Between 1,000 and 2,000, inclusive 99%
More than 2,000 but fewer than 3,000 1%
Between 3,000 and 4,000, inclusive 0%
More than 4,000 but fewer than 5,000 0%
Between 5,000 and 6,000 inclusive 0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,000 0%
Between 7,000 and 8,000 inclusive 0%
More than 8,000 but fewer than 9,000 0%
9,000 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

38

Forecast
Count

183

Crowd Brier Score

0.0093


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.016
2.
-0.013
4.
-0.008
5.
-0.007

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