Started Jun 02, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 3 July 2021?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 27 June 2021 through 3 July 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 26 June 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 3 July 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.

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The question closed "More than 60,000 but fewer than 100,000" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 20,000 0%
Between 20,000 and 60,000, inclusive 0%
More than 60,000 but fewer than 100,000 97%
Between 100,000 and 140,000, inclusive 3%
More than 140,000 but fewer than 180,000 0%
Between 180,000 and 220,000, inclusive 0%
More than 220,000 but fewer than 260,000 0%
Between 260,000 and 300,000, inclusive 0%
More than 300,000 but fewer than 340,000 0%
Between 340,000 and 380,000, inclusive 0%
More than 380,000 but fewer than 420,000 0%
420,000 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

37

Forecast
Count

283

Crowd Brier Score

0.0406


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.017
2.
-0.015
3.
-0.014
4.
-0.013
5.
-0.011

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