Started Jun 02, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many people will have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US as of 30 June 2021, according to the CDC?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People Fully Vaccinated” (CDC). The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary.

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The question closed "More than 155,000,000 but fewer than 165,000,000" with a closing date of 30 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 145,000,000 0%
Between 145,000,000 and 155,000,000, inclusive 25%
More than 155,000,000 but fewer than 165,000,000 75%
Between 165,000,000 and 175,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 175,000,000 but fewer than 185,000,000 0%
Between 185,000,000 and 195,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 195,000,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

61

Forecast
Count

288

Crowd Brier Score

0.1752


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.202
2.
-0.128
4.
-0.071
5.
-0.068

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