Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?
Started
Jun 17, 2021 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tags
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "Less than 3,800" with a closing date of 30 June 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3,800 | 45% | |
| Between 3,800 and 4,100, inclusive | 55% | |
| More than 4,100 but less than 4,400 | 0% | |
| Between 4,400 and 4,700, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 4,700 but less than 5,000 | 0% | |
| 5,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 117 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1354 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
