Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?
Started
Jun 17, 2021 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tags
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "Less than 3,800" with a closing date of 30 June 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 3,800 | 45% | |
Between 3,800 and 4,100, inclusive | 55% | |
More than 4,100 but less than 4,400 | 0% | |
Between 4,400 and 4,700, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 4,700 but less than 5,000 | 0% | |
5,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 117 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1354 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |