Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?
The outcome will be determined by the latest data from the US Census Bureau's Household Pulse Survey, which covers the "percentage of adults living in households where at least one adult has teleworked because of the coronavirus pandemic in the last 7 days" (Census.gov). Under "Select an Estimate," choose "Telework (because of coronavirus)," click "OK," and reference the data for the United States as a whole. Click the "Week" button under "Map and Chart Display" for survey results across time periods. As of 7 June 2021, 24.5% of adults in the United States were living in households where at least one adult has teleworked because of the coronavirus pandemic in the last 7 days. For historical data from August 2020 through March 2021, see "Telework (substituted for in person work)" here: https://www.census.gov/data-tools/demo/hhp/#/?measures=TELEWORK&periodSelector=27.
NOTE 20 August 2021: We are aware that the Census Bureau appears to have dropped this question from its pulse survey. We have contacted the Bureau for confirmation of this.
Since the Census Bureau revised its pulse survey to the exclusion of the telework question around which this question is framed, the question has been voided.