Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

asks:

Will Rishi Sunak cease to be the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer before 1 January 2022?

There have been reports of tensions between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Chancellor Sunak (Sky News, Daily Mail, Gov.uk - Rishi Sunak, Evening Standard).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 133
average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 261
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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