Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

Louisiana continues to struggle with COVID-19 in the wake of Hurricane Ida (USA Today). The outcome will be determined using data as published by the New York Times (NY Times). The 7-day average of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 1 September 2021 was 2,991. The data for the week ending 20 October 2021 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 26 October 2021.

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The question closed "Fewer than 1,500" with a closing date of 21 October 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,500 100%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive 0%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500 0%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive 0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500 0%
7,500 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

47

Forecast
Count

173

Crowd Brier Score

0.0599


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.135
2.
-0.118
3.
-0.1
4.
-0.093
5.
-0.086

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