&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory (R) be re-elected this November?

Started Jun 03, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question closed with the correct answer "No" with an end date of 8 November 2016. Governor Pat McCrory lost his bid for election to Roy Cooper. (Newsweek, Washington Post) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Roy Cooper is challenging Governor McCrory in this year's election (Washington Post, Roll Call ). Recommended Questions: Will Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) be re-elected this November? Will Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) be re-elected this November? Will Indiana Governor Mike Pence (R) be re-elected this November?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 33.00%
No 67.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 252
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 832
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.366
2.
-0.359
3.
-0.344
4.
-0.334
5.
-0.327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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