Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 11, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 11 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

The cryptocurrency market has seen significant volatility (Economist). The outcome will be determined using the last value dated 11 August 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinMarketCap under "Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap" with "Zoom" set to "7d" the morning of 12 August 2022 (CoinMarketCap).

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The question closed "Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive" with a closing date of 11 August 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1.0 trillion 7%
Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive 93%
More than $2.0 trillion but less than $3.0 trillion 0%
Between $3.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $4.0 trillion but less than $5.0 trillion 0%
$5.0 trillion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 192
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 1209
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.258
2.
-0.25
3.
-0.211
4.
-0.207
5.
-0.19

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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