Who will win the 2022 presidential election in Brazil?

Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Brazil's next presidential election could lead to a showdown between incumbent President Bolsonaro and former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (France 24, Superior Electoral Court). Brazil's next presidential election is scheduled for 2022 with the first round of voting to take place on 2 October 2022, and a runoff is scheduled for 30 October 2022 if needed.

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The question closed "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" with a closing date of 30 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Jair Bolsonaro 26%
João Doria 0%
Ciro Gomes 0%
Sérgio Moro 0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 73%
Another candidate 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 187
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 668
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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