The Economist asks:
Who will win the 2022 presidential election in Colombia?
Started
Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
With President Iván Duque Márquez term limited, the race to be the next president of Colombia is wide open (Economist, Americas Quarterly, Bloomberg). The first round of Colombia's next presidential election is scheduled for 29 May 2022, with a runoff scheduled for 19 June 2022, if needed.
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The question closed "Gustavo Petro" with a closing date of 19 June 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Sergio Fajardo | 0% | |
| Juan Manuel Galán | 0% | |
| Alejandro Gaviria | 0% | |
| Federico Gutiérrez | 0% | |
| Rodolfo Hernández | 0% | |
| Gustavo Petro | 100% | |
| Another candidate | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 125 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 426 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
