Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2022 presidential election in the Philippines?

Various familiar names are in the race to be the next president of the Philippines, scheduled for 9 May 2022 (Economist, Bloomberg, NPR).

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The question closed "Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr." with a closing date of 9 May 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Christopher "Bong" Go 0%
Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. 99%
Francisco "Isko" Moreno 0%
Manny "PacMan" Pacquiao 0%
Maria "Leni" Robredo 1%
Another candidate 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 181
Average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 502
Average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.198
2.
-0.191
3.
-0.188
4.
-0.188
5.
-0.185

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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