The Economist asks:
Who will win the 2022 presidential election in the Philippines?
Started
Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed May 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Various familiar names are in the race to be the next president of the Philippines, scheduled for 9 May 2022 (Economist, Bloomberg, NPR).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr." with a closing date of 9 May 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Christopher "Bong" Go | 0% | |
Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. | 99% | |
Francisco "Isko" Moreno | 0% | |
Manny "PacMan" Pacquiao | 0% | |
Maria "Leni" Robredo | 1% | |
Another candidate | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 181 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 502 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |