Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 31, 2021 04:01AM UTC

When will the US lift the suspension of entry for noncitizens who have been present in South Africa during the 14-day period preceding their entry or attempted entry into the US?

After South Africa announced the discovery of the new SARS-CoV-2 variant named Omicron by WHO, President Biden imposed travel restrictions on various southern Africa countries, including South Africa ( - Proclamation, BBC, WHO). Listed exceptions, changes to listed exceptions, and/or a change to the duration of the 14-day period would be immaterial.

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The question closed "Before 1 January 2022" with a closing date of 30 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 January 2022 100%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022 0%
Not before 1 April 2022 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 123
Average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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