How many seats in the Assembly of the Republic will the Socialist Party win in the next Portuguese parliamentary election?

Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC

The next Portuguese parliamentary election is scheduled for 30 January 2022 (EU Reporter,, - Poll of Polls). The Socialist Party won 108 seats in the 2019 Portuguese parliamentary election (Assembly of the Republic).

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The question closed "More than 115" with a closing date of 30 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 96 0%
Between 96 and 105 43%
Between 106 and 115 57%
More than 115 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 156
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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