How many seats in the Assembly of the Republic will the Socialist Party win in the next Portuguese parliamentary election?
The next Portuguese parliamentary election is scheduled for 30 January 2022 (EU Reporter, Politico.eu, Politico.eu - Poll of Polls). The Socialist Party won 108 seats in the 2019 Portuguese parliamentary election (Assembly of the Republic).
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The question closed "More than 115" with a closing date of 30 January 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 96 | 0% | |
| Between 96 and 105 | 43% | |
| Between 106 and 115 | 57% | |
| More than 115 | 0% |
Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| average for questions in their first 6 months: 225 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 156 |
| average for questions in their first 6 months: 550 | |
| Accuracy of participants | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | about average |
