Who will be elected governor of Arizona in 2022?

Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC

There are 20 Republican-held and 16 Democratic-held state gubernatorial seats up for election in 2022 (Ballotpedia, 270 to Win).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 23%
The Republican Party candidate 76%
Someone else 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 114
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 443
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.808
3.
-0.681
4.
-0.666
5.
-0.639

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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