The Economist asks:
Will Tunisia hold a constitutional referendum before 1 August 2022?
Closed Jul 25, 2022 09:00PM UTC
On 13 December 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied announced that the country would hold a referendum on a new constitution on 25 July 2022, exactly one year after he froze parliament and took over political control of the country (Economist, France 24, Brookings Institution). A referendum on either a new constitution or amendments to the existing constitution would count.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 July 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 90.00% | |
No | 10.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 164 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 468 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |