How many total deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported as of 1 May 2022?
The rise of the Omicron variant is raising concerns about COVID-19 in the US over the winter (USA Today, CNN). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the CDC (CDC, parameters are set with the link). The data for 1 May 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 6 May 2022. If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
The question closed "More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000" with a closing date of 2 May 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Fewer than 900,000||0%|
|Between 900,000 and 975,000, inclusive||0%|
|More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000||100%|
|Between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000, inclusive||0%|
|More than 1,125,000 but fewer than 1,200,000||0%|
|Between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000 inclusive||0%|
|More than 1,275,000||0%|
|Number of Forecasters||161|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 225|
|Number of Forecasts||675|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 550|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||better than average|