How many total deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported as of 1 May 2022?
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The rise of the Omicron variant is raising concerns about COVID-19 in the US over the winter (USA Today, CNN). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the CDC (CDC, parameters are set with the link). The data for 1 May 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 6 May 2022. If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
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The question closed "More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000" with a closing date of 2 May 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 900,000 | 0% | |
| Between 900,000 and 975,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000 | 100% | |
| Between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 1,125,000 but fewer than 1,200,000 | 0% | |
| Between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000 inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 1,275,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 161 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 675 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
