Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his agenda are facing a number of challenges, including Brexit, COVID-19, and scandals (Economist, Axios, France 24, Guardian).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 23 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 538
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 2282
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.084
3.
-0.084
4.
-0.083
5.
-0.083

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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