Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
•
Closing
Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?
Major riots broke out in Kazakhstan after the government removed fuel subsidies (AP, BBC, The Hill). Whether or not Tokayev has fled Kazakhstan will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.