Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Major riots broke out in Kazakhstan after the government removed fuel subsidies (AP, BBC, The Hill). Whether or not Tokayev has fled Kazakhstan will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 July 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.00% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 172 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 600 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
