Started Jan 28, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC

At close of business on 15 June 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 4 May 2022?

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its May meeting is scheduled for 14-15 June 2022.

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The question closed "Higher" with a closing date of 15 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 0%
Same 0%
Higher 100%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 127
average for questions in their first 6 months: 223
Number of Forecasts 385
average for questions in their first 6 months: 548
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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