Terry-Smith asks:

Who will President Biden announce as his choice to replace Justice Breyer on the US Supreme Court?

Started Feb 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 25, 2022 04:00PM UTC

With Justice Breyer's retirement announcement, President Biden has begun a search to find his replacement (Politico, CBS News, Daily Mail, US Supreme Court).

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The question closed "Ketanji Brown Jackson" with a closing date of 25 February 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
J. Michelle Childs 0%
Anita Earls 0%
Ketanji Brown Jackson 100%
Candace Jackson-Akiwumi 0%
Leondra Kruger 0%
Melissa Murray 0%
Wilhelmina Wright 0%
Someone else 0%
Biden will not announce a choice before 1 July 2022 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 141
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.288214
2.
-0.188007
4.
-0.164707
5.
-0.1639

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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