Started Feb 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 25, 2022 04:00PM UTC

Terry-Smith asks:

Who will President Biden announce as his choice to replace Justice Breyer on the US Supreme Court?

With Justice Breyer's retirement announcement, President Biden has begun a search to find his replacement (Politico, CBS News, Daily Mail, US Supreme Court).

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The question closed "Ketanji Brown Jackson" with a closing date of 25 February 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
J. Michelle Childs 0%
Anita Earls 0%
Ketanji Brown Jackson 100%
Candace Jackson-Akiwumi 0%
Leondra Kruger 0%
Melissa Murray 0%
Wilhelmina Wright 0%
Someone else 0%
Biden will not announce a choice before 1 July 2022 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 223
Number of Forecasts 141
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 547
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.188
4.
-0.165
5.
-0.164

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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