Terry-Smith asks:
Who will President Biden announce as his choice to replace Justice Breyer on the US Supreme Court?
Started
Feb 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 25, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 25, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Challenges
With Justice Breyer's retirement announcement, President Biden has begun a search to find his replacement (Politico, CBS News, Daily Mail, US Supreme Court).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Ketanji Brown Jackson" with a closing date of 25 February 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| J. Michelle Childs | 0% | |
| Anita Earls | 0% | |
| Ketanji Brown Jackson | 100% | |
| Candace Jackson-Akiwumi | 0% | |
| Leondra Kruger | 0% | |
| Melissa Murray | 0% | |
| Wilhelmina Wright | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% | |
| Biden will not announce a choice before 1 July 2022 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 43 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 215 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 141 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 606 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
