Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Who will win the Republican primary for Wyoming's US House seat in 2022?

Incumbent Rep. Liz Cheney is facing opposition from within the Republican Party over her work with the House committee investigating the 6 January 2021 Capitol riot and her opposition to former President Trump (Ballotpedia, The Hill, Newsweek). The Wyoming GOP Primary is scheduled for 16 August 2022 (WY Secretary of State).

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The question closed "Harriet Hageman" with a closing date of 16 August 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Liz Cheney 0%
Harriet Hageman 100%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 244
Average for questions older than 6 months: 678
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.394
2.
-0.385
3.
-0.38
4.
-0.368
5.
-0.362

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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