Question 14 of 27 in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 8 November 2022?

President Volodymyr Zelensky has pushed for greater NATO involvement in the defense of Ukraine (BBC, CBS News). A qualifying lethal confrontation is one that results at least three fatalities (total, not each) for the national military forces and/or law enforcement of either side. As of launch, there were 30 NATO member states (NATO). For the purposes of this question, members of armed forces fighting without command authorization are not considered "national military forces and/or law enforcement" (e.g., AP, BBC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 5.00% +0.00%
No 95.00% -0.00%

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