Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC

David Epstein asks:

Between 11 March 2022 and 9 September 2022, will Russia publicly announce that it has moved nuclear weapons into either Belarus or Ukraine?

As fighting continues in Ukraine, there are concerns that Russia may deploy nuclear weapons westward in the region (Defense News, The Hill, Atlantic Council).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 4.50% +0.50%
No 95.50% -0.50%

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