Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC

David Epstein asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for Georgia in 2022?

With the US Senate evenly divided going into the 2022 elections, the GOP is defending 20 seats while Democrats are defending 14 this November (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 6 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 82%
The Republican Party candidate 18%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 206
Average for questions older than 6 months: 239
Number of Forecasts 756
Average for questions older than 6 months: 658
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.463
2.
-0.432
3.
-0.396
4.
-0.384
5.
-0.327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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