Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC

Kinnaj asks:

Before 1 November 2022, will Twitter announce that Parag Agrawal has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?

Parag Agrawal replaced Twitter founder Jack Dorsey as the company's CEO in November 2021 and is now facing a potential takeover bid from Elon Musk (CNBC, NPR, Quartz). The addition of a co-CEO would count, and the date Agrawal would cease to be CEO would be immaterial.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 94.66%
No 5.34%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 114
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 749
Average for questions older than 6 months: 673
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.641
3.
-0.641
5.
-0.64

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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