Kinnaj asks:

Before 1 November 2022, will Twitter announce that Parag Agrawal has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?

Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC

Parag Agrawal replaced Twitter founder Jack Dorsey as the company's CEO in November 2021 and is now facing a potential takeover bid from Elon Musk (CNBC, NPR, Quartz). The addition of a co-CEO would count, and the date Agrawal would cease to be CEO would be immaterial.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 94.66%
No 5.34%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 114
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 749
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.641
3.
-0.641
5.
-0.64

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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