Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

David Epstein asks:

Between 29 April 2022 and 30 November 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?

After launching an ICBM for the first time since 2017, there are concerns that North Korea may test another nuclear weapon (AP, CNN). North Korea's most recent nuclear detonation was in 2017 (BBC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 39.41% -0.50% -6.18% -13.40%
No 60.59% +0.50% +6.18% +13.40%

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