What percentage of the 2022 Chilean referendum vote will be to approve the new constitution?
In the wake of widespread protests in 2019, Chile began a process to draft and approve a new constitution to replace the current, Pinochet-era constitution (US News & World Report, Buenos Aires Times, Euronews). The referendum is currently scheduled for 4 September 2022 (France 24). If the Chilean government reschedules the referendum to a date before 1 January 2023, the suspend date will be changed to accommodate the new date. If the Chilean government postpones the referendum to a date after 31 December 2022, the question would close "Chile will not hold a referendum on adopting a new constitution in 2022" upon the announcement of that postponement.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Less than 40.0%||0.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 40.0% and 50.0%, inclusive||87.00%||+0.00%|
|More than 50.0% but less than 60%||12.00%||+0.00%|
|60.0% or more||0.00%||+0.00%|
|Chile will not hold a referendum on adopting a new constitution in 2022||1.00%||+0.00%|