How many seats will the Ensemble Citoyens (Citizens Together) alliance win in the next French National Assembly elections?
Closed Jun 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
In November 2021, pro-Macron political groups in France formed Ensemble Citoyens (French for "Citizens Together"), a political alliance created in the run-up to 2022 presidential and legislative elections (Euractive, Guardian, French Ministry of the Interior [in French]. As of 6 May 2022, the seven member parties of Ensemble Citoyens were La République En Marche!, Mouvement Democrate, Agir, Horizons, Territoires de Progres, En Commun!, and Parti Radical (Ensemble Citoyens [in French]). The next two-round legislative elections are scheduled for 12 June 2022 and 19 June 2022 (French Ministry of the Interior [in French]).
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The question closed "Fewer than 289" with a closing date of 19 June 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 289 | 4% | |
| Between 289 and 321 | 62% | |
| Between 322 and 353 | 33% | |
| Between 354 and 385 | 1% | |
| More than 385 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 56 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
