Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 20, 2022 06:59AM UTC

What will be the price of bitcoin on 20 August 2022?

The outcome will be determined using the last price dated for 20 August 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinDesk (CoinDesk, chart set to "1M" and the "chart switch" toggle left at the default "Close," not "OHLC").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between 14,000.00 and 22,000.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 20 August 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 14,000.00 0%
Between 14,000.00 and 22,000.00, inclusive 44%
More than 22,000.00 but less than 30,000.00 56%
Between 30,000.00 and 38,000.00, inclusive 0%
More than 38,000.00 but less than 46,000.00 0%
Between 46,000.00 and 54,000.00, inclusive 0%
More than 54,000.00 but less than 62,000.00 0%
62,000.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 88
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 674
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 538
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.121
2.
-0.118
3.
-0.111
4.
-0.091
5.
-0.087

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username