Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion?

Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The FBI's IC3 collects Internet crime complaints and publishes an annual Internet Crime Report (IC3). For 2021, IC3 reported in excess of $6.9 billion in total victim losses (FBI). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using IC3's 2022 Internet Crime Report, expected to be released in the spring of 2023 (IC3 Annual Reports).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 80.93%
No 19.07%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 97
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055181
2.
-0.055013
4.
-0.045273

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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