Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing price per share of the ARK Innovation ETF on 2 September 2022?

After high gains during the height of the pandemic, the ARK Innovation ETF (Symbol: ARKK) has lost roughly 60% of its value from the beginning of June 2021 to the end of May 2022 (NPR, CNBC, US News & World Report, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "More than $40.00 but less than $55.00" with a closing date of 2 September 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $25.00 0%
Between $25.00 and $40.00, inclusive 22%
More than $40.00 but less than $55.00 77%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive 1%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00 0%
$85.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.125
2.
-0.121
3.
-0.108
4.
-0.093
5.
-0.09

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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