Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC

Who will win the election for New York's 19th Congressional District in 2022?

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 59%
The Republican Party candidate 41%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 289
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.386
2.
-0.235
4.
-0.212
5.
-0.192

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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