Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many seats will Likud win in the 2022 Israeli legislative elections?

Disagreements within the ruling coalition led to a dissolution of the Knesset and the scheduling of legislative elections on 1 November 2022, the fifth in less than four years (BBC, France 24). If Likud forms an electoral alliance, the total number of seats for the alliance's list would count for resolution (e.g., France 24).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 27 4.50% +0.00% +0.70% +3.20%
Between 27 and 31 24.70% -0.50% -8.50% +4.30%
Between 32 and 36 64.80% +0.50% +7.90% -2.90%
More than 36 6.00% +0.00% -0.10% -4.60%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username