Started Sep 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 28, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel the People's Republic of China (PRC) and those of any other country before 28 November 2022?

China is dealing with tensions with various countries, including India, Japan, Taiwan, and the US (US News & World Report, Voice of America, Council on Foreign Relations). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side. For the purposes of this question, Taiwan is considered another country.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 7.89% -0.89% -6.51%
No 92.11% +0.89% +6.51%

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