Started Sep 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What percentage of valid votes will the Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win in the first round of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election?

Former President Lula is challenging incumbent president Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 Brazilian presidential election (BBC, US News & World Report). The first round of the election is scheduled to take place 2 October 2022 (Rio Times).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Less than 41.0% 8.54% -0.57% -9.08%
Between 41.0% and 44.0%, inclusive 26.00% +0.89% -14.65%
More than 44.0% but less than 47.0% 37.61% +1.83% +12.38%
Between 47.0% and 50.0%, inclusive 22.09% -1.80% +12.32%
More than 50.0% 5.76% -0.35% -0.97%

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