Kinnaj asks:

Before 1 January 2024, will Rishi Sunak cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

Started Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Rishi Sunak was appointed as the UK's prime minister on 25 October 2022, the third UK PM in 2022 (BBC, CNBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 9.30%
No 90.70%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 643
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 1349
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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