Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

How many total visitors will there be to Dubai's Public Parks and Children's City in 2022?

Started Nov 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by the Dubai Statistics Center (Dubai Statistics Center - Culture and Leisure, see "Visitors of Public Parks and Children's City by Type"). The figure in the PDF file will be used for resolution. In 2021, there were a total of 4,116,269 visitors to Dubai's Public Parks and Children's City (Visitors of Public Parks and Children's City by Type - Emirate of Dubai (2021 - 2019)).

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The question closed "5.2 million or more" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 4.0 million 2%
Between 4.0 million and 4.3 million, inclusive 41%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.6 million 35%
Between 4.6 million and 4.9 million, inclusive 18%
More than 4.9 million but fewer than 5.2 million 3%
5.2 million or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 16
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.434787
2.
-0.243756
3.
-0.067093
4.
-0.055175
5.
0.002919

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
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