Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will there be a new tweet on former President Donald Trump's Twitter account, @realdonaldtrump, before 26 February 2023?

Started Nov 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 26, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Elon Musk announced that Trump's Twitter account was reactivated after a poll held on the site, but Trump has thus far said that he has no interest in returning to Twitter (CNBC, Twitter). Retweets would not count, and a tweet that is immediately deleted or removed would count so long as there is credible reporting that the tweet occurred. Claims that a tweet was the result of a hack would be immaterial.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 February 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3.24%
No 96.76%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 154
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 555
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.335
2.
-0.32
4.
-0.296
5.
-0.281

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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