What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Avatar: The Way of Water, according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Avatar: The Way of Water is the first sequel to the 2009 blockbuster Avatar (IMDb - Avatar). The question will be suspended on 16 December 2022 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 16-18 December 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 16 December 2022.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 19 December 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $100 million | 5% | |
| Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive | 29% | |
| More than $150 million but less than $200 million | 53% | |
| Between $200 million and $250 million, inclusive | 12% | |
| More than $250 million | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 56 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 172 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
