Started Dec 02, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Avatar: The Way of Water, according to Box Office Mojo?

Show background information

Avatar: The Way of Water is the first sequel to the 2009 blockbuster Avatar (IMDb - Avatar). The question will be suspended on 16 December 2022 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 16-18 December 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 16 December 2022.

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The question closed "Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 19 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $100 million 5%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive 29%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million 53%
Between $200 million and $250 million, inclusive 12%
More than $250 million 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 169
Number of Forecasts 172
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 374
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
Mister-Value
-0.319
2.
webster-j-att-net
-0.318
3.
regaston
-0.308
4.
Crystal_Eyeball
-0.265
5.
kevincoburn
-0.219

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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