Nonrival asks:

Will US venture capital (VC) investment in cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology exceed $2 billion in either the fourth quarter of 2022 or first quarter of 2023?

Started Dec 09, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Investments by US venture capital firms in crypto and blockchain technology peaked in the first quarter of 2022 at over $6 billion, but the pace of investment has fallen considerably since (Nonrival, see first chart). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 if still open and the outcome determined using PitchBook data as reported by Nonrival (PitchBook, Nonrival - Substack).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.96%
No 98.04%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 164
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.012
3.
-0.011
5.
-0.011

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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