Nonrival asks:

Will Miami rank among the top 7 US metro areas by total venture capital (VC) invested in the first half of 2023?

Started Dec 09, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The city of Miami, Florida, is in a race with other mid-sized US cities to attract VC investment (Nonrival, see first chart). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor data as reported by Nonrival (PitchBook, Nonrival - Substack).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 24.20%
No 75.80%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 61
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 181
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.238334
2.
-0.238334
3.
-0.216302
4.
-0.175388

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username