alh asks:

Before 15 December 2023, will Tesla announce that Elon Musk has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?

Started Dec 23, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Elon Musk, Tesla's CEO, has been under pressure as his time has been divided among other ventures, including Twitter (CNN, CNBC). An announced leave of absence or addition of a co-CEO would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.28%
No 97.72%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 201
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 656
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.039491
2.
-0.039141
3.
-0.039091
4.
-0.03869
5.
-0.038501

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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